Great British Bounce Can’t Stop EU or Global Export Decline in February — Panjiva
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Great British Bounce Can’t Stop EU or Global Export Decline in February

European Union 826 Global 1389 Trade Balance 932 United Kingdom 369

Exports from the European Union fell for a fourth straight month in February in dollar terms, Panjiva analysis of S&P Global Market Intelligence data shows, with a 2.4% year over year decline. That came despite a 6.4% increase in exports from the U.K., outlined in Panjiva’s research of Apr. 10, that was the result of a pre-Brexit surge in shipments. The postponement of the exit date to at least Jun. 1 may mean there’ll be a return to weaker fundamentals in April.

GERMANY’S LOSS DRAGS EUROPEAN EXPORTS DOWN

Chart segments export growth by country. Calculations based on S&P Global Market Intelligence figures.  Source: Panjiva

When added to a 10.4% decline in exports from Asia – driven in large part by China’s holiday-related slump in shipments – that meant global exports slowed by 5.0% year over year. There is an apparent bifurcation though with Europe and Asia weaker while the Americas saw an improvement of 1.6%.

Looking into March the performance may not be much better given 11 of the 15 countries (or 73% by number) that have already reported data have shown a decline in exports. Again a split is apparent with only a handful of Asian countries doing better including China, Vietnam and India.

EUROPE LED THE SLOWDOWN, ASIA FOLLOWING

Chart segments export growth by country. Calculations based on S&P Global Market Intelligence figures.  Source: Panjiva

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