Rooms-to-Go Import Record May Be Tabled If Trump Takes Tariff Option — Panjiva
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Rooms-to-Go Import Record May Be Tabled If Trump Takes Tariff Option

Canada 491 China 2971 Cons. Discr. - Durables 513 Mexico 881 U.S. 5317

U.S. retail sales of furniture climbed 1.4% on a year earlier in September, official data shows, the seventh straight month of expansion, but the slowest rate of growth since April. Imported furniture continued to build its market share, with a 4.8% rise in August, Panjiva data shows, and a likely 13.4% jump in September based on seaborne data only. That acceleration suggests either inventory build is significant, or that American manufacturers are losing pace.

NEARLY HALF OF ALL U.S. FURNITURE SALES COME FROM OVERSEAS

Chart compares value of all furniture  imports to furniture retailers sales based on U.S. Census Bureau data Source: Panjiva

China accounted for 48.8% of supplies in the 12 months through August 31, with growth having outpaced broader import growth every month since March. The sector could become a target for tariffs once the U.S. Commerce Department completes its section 301 review of intellectual property practices. As outlined in Panjiva research of October 3 that review will give the President Trump the flexibility to apply tariffs broadly.

A further 27.0% of imports come from Mexico and Canada, while the U.S. ran a “furniture deficit” ( exports less imports) of $8.3 billion in the 12 months to August 31. That raises the prospect that the ongoing – and struggling – NAFTA negotiations may disrupt retailers supply chains.

CHINA AND NAFTA RISK FOR U.S. FURNITURE RETAILERS

Chart segments U.S. imports of furniture selected from HS category 94 by country of origin. Most recent month total based on seaborne shipments. Source: Panjiva

The two largest importers, at least by volume, are Ikea and Rooms-to-Go. Both have markedly accelerated their imports during the third quarter. Ikea’s imports climbed 21.7% on a year earlier, and Rooms-to-Go’s by 25.7% including a record month in September.

China accounts for 23.0% of Ikea’s imports, while Rooms-to-Go is more exposed at 31.9%. Ikea’s supply chain meanwhile is more heavily weighted to Europe and Rooms to Go’s towards Asia and particularly Vietnam (35.0% of the total).

ROOMS-TO-GO MAKES ROOM FOR RECORD IMPORTS

Seaborne imports of selected furniture categories for Ikea and Rooms to Go. Dotted line indicates current month, solid line the trailing three month average. Source: Panjiva

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