ADM and Tate & Lyle May Urge Restraint to Ross on Sugar Deal — Panjiva
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ADM and Tate & Lyle May Urge Restraint to Ross on Sugar Deal

Ags - Softs 134 Consumer Staples 760 Mexico 882 Tariffs 1795 U.S. 5318 USMCA 456

Talks between U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross and Mexican Economy Minister Ildefonso Guajardo failed to reach a conclusion on the future Mexican sugar exports, Reuters reports. The U.S. has set a deadline of June 5 to reach a new agreement, which centers around quotas of unrefined vs. partially refined products. Without it, tariffs will be applied. As outlined in Panjiva research of May 2 this has a parallel in the U.S. decision to impose tariffs on Canadian lumber. It should also be seen in the broader context of forthcoming NAFTA negotiations.

Panjiva data shows sugar accounted for $659 million, or 0.2% of total Mexican exports to the U.S. in 2016. The value of sales dropped 90.4% in March on a year earlier, and were 10% of February’s level after Mexico withdrew export licenses. Only part of the slack has been taken up by other countries. Total imports in March fell 58.5%, with the Dominican Republic representing half the shipments after Brazilian exports fell.

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WINS AS MEXICAN SUGAR TO U.S. THINS

Upper panel segments total imports of products covered by sugar suspension agreements, lower panel shows change in exports by Mexico Source: Panjiva

For Mexico’s side of the equation in may restrict U.S. exports of high fructose corn syrup. These amounted to $371 million in the 12 months to March 31, or 59% of the value of Mexican sugar exports to the U.S. HFC exports to Mexico increased 3.8% in the first quarter on a year earlier. Leading exporters including Archer Daniels Midland and Tate & Lyle may try to lobby Commerce to think again about tariffs.

HIGH FRUCTOSE CORN SYRUP EXPORTS NOT SO HIGH

Upper panel segments U.S. exports of high fructose corn-syrup by destination (bars) compared to Mexican exports of sugar to the U.S. (line). Lower panel shows change in total U.S. HFC exports. Source: Panjiva

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