2018 Outlook: 5 Black Swan Risks for Global Supply Chains — Panjiva
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Supply Chain Research

2018 Outlook: 5 Black Swan Risks for Global Supply Chains

China 2967 Cons. Discr. - Autos 1175 Corp - Ports 876 Corp - Shipping 972 Energy - Conventional 447 Global 1389 Iran 33 Materials - Metals/Mining 747 Mergers 220 Mexico 880 Mode - Containerized 1464 Mode - Rail 112 Mode - Seaborne 1797 Mode - Truck 73 Outlook 95 Research Recaps 25 Saudi Arabia 46 Strikes 64 Theme - Alliances 97 Trade Deals 999 U.S. 5313

Global supply chains face a morass of regulatory, political, physical and financial challenges in 2018. These raise at least five risks beyond the normal-course issues identified elsewhere in the Panjiva 2018 Outlook. Marine conflict in the South China Sea resulting from Chinese land claims would restrict trade in the region, though with $164 billion of annual exports at stake China is unlikely to take the first shot. Conflict in the Middle East meanwhile – including a restriction of shipping through the Hormuz Strait – would lead to higher oil prices, reduced activity for container line...

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