2018 Outlook: 5 Black Swan Risks for Global Supply Chains — Panjiva
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2018 Outlook: 5 Black Swan Risks for Global Supply Chains

China 3047 Cons. Discr. - Autos 1246 Corp - Ports 908 Corp - Shipping 1025 Energy - Conventional 468 Global 1391 Iran 39 Materials - Metals/Mining 792 Mergers 220 Mexico 928 Mode - Containerized 1523 Mode - Rail 120 Mode - Seaborne 1845 Mode - Truck 75 Outlook 96 Research Recaps 25 Saudi Arabia 50 Strikes 78 Theme - Alliances 99 Trade Deals 1017 U.S. 5398

Global supply chains face a morass of regulatory, political, physical and financial challenges in 2018. These raise at least five risks beyond the normal-course issues identified elsewhere in the Panjiva 2018 Outlook. Marine conflict in the South China Sea resulting from Chinese land claims would restrict trade in the region, though with $164 billion of annual exports at stake China is unlikely to take the first shot. Conflict in the Middle East meanwhile – including a restriction of shipping through the Hormuz Strait – would lead to higher oil prices, reduced activity for container line...

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